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      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  C:\Users\happy\Dropbox\Penn State\Dissertation\splits\Joo_Mukherjee_Replication\joo_mukherjee_main.log
  log type:  text
 opened on:  12 Oct 2020, 21:29:53

. ***********************************************

. 
. * Replication Material For II Joo & Mukherjee *

. 
. *              Main Paper Analysis            *    

. 
. * Use II_Joo_Mukherjee.dta for replication    *

. 
. ***********************************************

. 
. use II_Joo_Mukherjee

. 
. 
. 
. **** Table 1 Main Text ****

. 
. xtset rebid year
       panel variable:  rebid (unbalanced)
        time variable:  year, 1980 to 2014, but with gaps
                delta:  1 unit

. 
. 
. 
. * Model 1

. 
. xtprobit split centtime cent dur_exist t1 t2 t3, re vce(cluster rebid) 

Fitting comparison model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -609.61334  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -599.90217  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -599.54168  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =  -599.5415  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -599.5415  

Fitting full model:

rho =  0.0     log pseudolikelihood =  -599.5415
rho =  0.1     log pseudolikelihood = -594.64609
rho =  0.2     log pseudolikelihood = -598.35066

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -594.64614  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -593.12385  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -593.10146  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -593.10134  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -593.10134  

Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects probit regression                Number of obs     =      3,725
Group variable: rebid                           Number of groups  =        240

Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian                   Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       15.5
                                                              max =         35

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =         12

                                                Wald chi2(6)      =      11.32
Log pseudolikelihood  = -593.10134              Prob > chi2       =     0.0789

                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 240 clusters in rebid)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
       split |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    centtime |    .014683   .0050584     2.90   0.004     .0047687    .0245973
        cent |  -.2401157   .1030059    -2.33   0.020    -.4420037   -.0382278
   dur_exist |  -.0416858   .0130071    -3.20   0.001    -.0671793   -.0161924
          t1 |   33.28597   38.48637     0.86   0.387    -42.14593    108.7179
          t2 |  -.4989185   2.674009    -0.19   0.852     -5.73988    4.742043
          t3 |  -.0093524   .0556978    -0.17   0.867    -.1185181    .0998132
       _cons |  -1.420993   .2411759    -5.89   0.000    -1.893689   -.9482969
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    /lnsig2u |  -1.975219   .3953433                     -2.750077    -1.20036
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |   .3724661    .073626                      .2528298    .5487129
         rho |   .1218295   .0422966                      .0600823    .2314112
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. 
. 
. * Model 2

. 
. xtprobit split split_lag centtime cent dur_exist negotiation ceasefire rstrength t1 t2 t3, re vce(cluster rebid) 

Fitting comparison model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -576.60311  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -541.16483  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood =  -539.3263  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -539.31892  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -539.31892  

Fitting full model:

rho =  0.0     log pseudolikelihood = -539.31892
rho =  0.1     log pseudolikelihood = -540.91827

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -540.91831  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -538.45851  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -538.34531  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =   -538.342  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -538.34199  

Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects probit regression                Number of obs     =      3,382
Group variable: rebid                           Number of groups  =        220

Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian                   Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       15.4
                                                              max =         34

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =         12

                                                Wald chi2(10)     =      64.44
Log pseudolikelihood  = -538.34199              Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 220 clusters in rebid)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
       split |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   split_lag |   .3682652   .1608147     2.29   0.022     .0530741    .6834562
    centtime |   .0160249   .0046722     3.43   0.001     .0068675    .0251823
        cent |  -.3252824   .0973345    -3.34   0.001    -.5160545   -.1345104
   dur_exist |    -.04113   .0118629    -3.47   0.001    -.0643808   -.0178792
 negotiation |   .2545003   .1021751     2.49   0.013     .0542408    .4547598
   ceasefire |   .3777784   .2545368     1.48   0.138    -.1211046    .8766613
   rstrength |   .3229578   .0672837     4.80   0.000     .1910841    .4548314
          t1 |  -31.76204   45.53027    -0.70   0.485    -120.9997    57.47564
          t2 |   3.489239   3.136844     1.11   0.266    -2.658862     9.63734
          t3 |  -.0820263   .0631013    -1.30   0.194    -.2057025      .04165
       _cons |  -1.559681   .2771996    -5.63   0.000    -2.102982   -1.016379
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    /lnsig2u |  -2.983232   .7343536                     -4.422538   -1.543925
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |   .2250088    .082618                      .1095615    .4621053
         rho |   .0481892   .0336826                      .0118613    .1759654
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. 
. 
. * Model 3 

. 
. xtprobit split split_lag centtime cent dur_exist negotiation ceasefire rstrength terr mobilize t1 t2 t3, re vce(cluster rebid) 

Fitting comparison model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -564.78739  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -528.10818  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -526.28648  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -526.27903  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -526.27903  

Fitting full model:

rho =  0.0     log pseudolikelihood = -526.27903
rho =  0.1     log pseudolikelihood = -528.29239

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -528.29235  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood =  -525.7708  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -525.60154  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -525.59536  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -525.59533  

Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects probit regression                Number of obs     =      3,251
Group variable: rebid                           Number of groups  =        209

Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian                   Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       15.6
                                                              max =         34

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =         12

                                                Wald chi2(12)     =      69.54
Log pseudolikelihood  = -525.59533              Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 209 clusters in rebid)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
       split |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   split_lag |   .3732367   .1601739     2.33   0.020     .0593015    .6871718
    centtime |   .0169961   .0048257     3.52   0.000     .0075379    .0264543
        cent |   -.355772   .1024411    -3.47   0.001    -.5565529   -.1549911
   dur_exist |  -.0414456   .0120575    -3.44   0.001    -.0650778   -.0178133
 negotiation |   .2772929   .1041358     2.66   0.008     .0731904    .4813954
   ceasefire |   .4089621   .2519672     1.62   0.105    -.0848845    .9028087
   rstrength |   .3525784   .0709685     4.97   0.000     .2134826    .4916742
        terr |  -.1484045   .1125384    -1.32   0.187    -.3689757    .0721667
    mobilize |  -.0332967   .0952789    -0.35   0.727      -.22004    .1534466
          t1 |  -37.63297   46.23661    -0.81   0.416    -128.2551    52.98913
          t2 |   3.684742    3.17598     1.16   0.246    -2.540065    9.909548
          t3 |  -.0841062   .0637024    -1.32   0.187    -.2089607    .0407482
       _cons |  -1.430015   .2882019    -4.96   0.000     -1.99488   -.8651494
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    /lnsig2u |  -3.161148   .8708071                     -4.867899   -1.454398
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |   .2058569   .0896308                      .0876898    .4832608
         rho |   .0406543   .0339628                      .0076308    .1893257
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. 
. 
. * Model 4

. 
. xtprobit split split_lag centtime cent dur_exist negotiation ceasefire rstrength terr mobilize independence logbd logbd2 t1 t2 t3, re vce(cluster rebid) 

Fitting comparison model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -477.43893  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood =  -437.9954  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -436.03345  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =  -436.0252  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -436.0252  

Fitting full model:

rho =  0.0     log pseudolikelihood =  -436.0252
rho =  0.1     log pseudolikelihood = -438.54621

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -438.54622  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -436.18418  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -435.91625  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -435.87665  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -435.87456  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -435.87455  

Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects probit regression                Number of obs     =      2,479
Group variable: rebid                           Number of groups  =        191

Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian                   Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       13.0
                                                              max =         26

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =         12

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =      99.41
Log pseudolikelihood  = -435.87455              Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 191 clusters in rebid)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
       split |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   split_lag |   .4455619   .1569964     2.84   0.005     .1378547    .7532691
    centtime |   .0157448   .0045726     3.44   0.001     .0067826     .024707
        cent |  -.3074662   .1165487    -2.64   0.008    -.5358975   -.0790349
   dur_exist |  -.0343053   .0126866    -2.70   0.007    -.0591707   -.0094399
 negotiation |    .264737   .1112946     2.38   0.017     .0466036    .4828704
   ceasefire |   .2530055   .2560836     0.99   0.323    -.2489091    .7549201
   rstrength |   .2918376   .0852431     3.42   0.001     .1247642     .458911
        terr |  -.1933579    .119263    -1.62   0.105    -.4271091    .0403934
    mobilize |   .0040991   .1041201     0.04   0.969    -.1999726    .2081707
independence |  -.2345839   .1186835    -1.98   0.048    -.4671994   -.0019684
       logbd |  -.0237582   .0198546    -1.20   0.231    -.0626726    .0151561
      logbd2 |  -.0040464   .0023129    -1.75   0.080    -.0085795    .0004868
          t1 |  -27.90933   48.99021    -0.57   0.569    -123.9284    68.10971
          t2 |   2.099829   3.244715     0.65   0.518    -4.259695    8.459353
          t3 |  -.0496096    .063108    -0.79   0.432    -.1732991    .0740799
       _cons |  -.9857114   .3659222    -2.69   0.007    -1.702906   -.2685171
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    /lnsig2u |  -3.762957   1.767913                     -7.228004   -.2979101
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |   .1523647   .1346838                      .0269438    .8616078
         rho |   .0226883   .0392009                      .0007254    .4260685
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***** Table 2: Main Paper Robustness Check *****

. 
. 
. 
. * Model 5 Add external support

. 
. xtprobit split split_lag centtime cent dur_exist negotiation ceasefire rstrength terr mobilize independence logbd logbd2 ext t1 t2 t3, re vce(cluster rebid) 

Fitting comparison model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -322.35458  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -290.89386  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -289.09889  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -289.09347  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -289.09347  

Fitting full model:

rho =  0.0     log pseudolikelihood = -289.09347
rho =  0.1     log pseudolikelihood = -290.71604

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -290.71604  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -289.11943  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood =  -288.9824  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -288.96402  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -288.96364  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -288.96364  

Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects probit regression                Number of obs     =      1,695
Group variable: rebid                           Number of groups  =        173

Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian                   Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =        9.8
                                                              max =         17

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =         12

                                                Wald chi2(16)     =     109.62
Log pseudolikelihood  = -288.96364              Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 173 clusters in rebid)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
       split |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   split_lag |   .4193318   .2075343     2.02   0.043      .012572    .8260915
    centtime |    .022476   .0063101     3.56   0.000     .0101084    .0348436
        cent |  -.3559376   .1285258    -2.77   0.006    -.6078435   -.1040317
   dur_exist |  -.0449955   .0181368    -2.48   0.013    -.0805431    -.009448
 negotiation |   .2026928   .1408356     1.44   0.150      -.07334    .4787256
   ceasefire |   .3569445   .3130699     1.14   0.254    -.2566611    .9705502
   rstrength |   .3823339   .1022614     3.74   0.000     .1819053    .5827626
        terr |  -.3067065   .1471146    -2.08   0.037    -.5950458   -.0183672
    mobilize |  -.1044331   .1252225    -0.83   0.404    -.3498647    .1409985
independence |  -.2697997   .1404994    -1.92   0.055    -.5451734    .0055741
       logbd |   1.62e-06   .0228273     0.00   1.000    -.0447391    .0447423
      logbd2 |  -.0018578    .002726    -0.68   0.496    -.0072008    .0034851
         ext |  -.1482453   .1479978    -1.00   0.317    -.4383158    .1418251
          t1 |  -32.64222   94.70445    -0.34   0.730    -218.2595    152.9751
          t2 |   4.228348   8.285213     0.51   0.610    -12.01037    20.46707
          t3 |  -.1315318   .2092768    -0.63   0.530    -.5417068    .2786432
       _cons |  -1.115401   .4788217    -2.33   0.020    -2.053875   -.1769279
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    /lnsig2u |   -3.47649   1.766415                     -6.938599   -.0143811
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |   .1758287   .1552932                      .0311388    .9928352
         rho |   .0299886   .0513838                      .0009687    .4964048
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * Model 6 Previous conflict and number of groups in conflict 

. 
. xtprobit split  centtime cent dur_exist negotiation ceasefire rstrength terr mobilize independence logbd logbd2 prev_split ngroup_country polwing t1 t2 t3, re vce(cluster rebid) 

Fitting comparison model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -477.05183  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -437.97404  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -435.93496  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -435.92786  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -435.92786  

Fitting full model:

rho =  0.0     log pseudolikelihood = -435.92786
rho =  0.1     log pseudolikelihood = -439.58782

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -439.58779  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -436.64864  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -436.14909  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -435.97658  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -435.9415  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -435.93028  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood =  -435.9284  
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -435.92798  
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -435.92794  
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -435.92793  

Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects probit regression                Number of obs     =      2,533
Group variable: rebid                           Number of groups  =        192

Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian                   Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       13.2
                                                              max =         26

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =         12

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =      96.54
Log pseudolikelihood  = -435.92793              Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                  (Std. Err. adjusted for 192 clusters in rebid)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
               |               Robust
         split |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
      centtime |   .0152515   .0044378     3.44   0.001     .0065536    .0239494
          cent |  -.3143105   .1148668    -2.74   0.006    -.5394452   -.0891757
     dur_exist |  -.0338323   .0121183    -2.79   0.005    -.0575838   -.0100809
   negotiation |   .2554444   .1085429     2.35   0.019     .0427042    .4681845
     ceasefire |   .3065137   .2577923     1.19   0.234    -.1987499    .8117772
     rstrength |   .2601532   .0915368     2.84   0.004     .0807443    .4395621
          terr |  -.1906364   .1141713    -1.67   0.095     -.414408    .0331352
      mobilize |  -.0109988   .1033041    -0.11   0.915    -.2134711    .1914734
  independence |  -.1834235   .1172245    -1.56   0.118    -.4131793    .0463323
         logbd |  -.0199337    .019214    -1.04   0.300    -.0575926    .0177251
        logbd2 |  -.0037198   .0022188    -1.68   0.094    -.0080686     .000629
    prev_split |   .2840634   .1225656     2.32   0.020     .0438393    .5242875
ngroup_country |  -.0087808   .0112385    -0.78   0.435     -.030808    .0132463
       polwing |   .0222789   .1025816     0.22   0.828    -.1787773    .2233351
            t1 |   28.75091   41.13689     0.70   0.485    -51.87591    109.3777
            t2 |  -1.566678   2.836605    -0.55   0.581    -7.126321    3.992965
            t3 |   .0146174   .0569264     0.26   0.797    -.0969562    .1261911
         _cons |  -1.158286   .3369369    -3.44   0.001     -1.81867   -.4979018
---------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
      /lnsig2u |  -9.946316   768.4112                     -1516.005    1496.112
---------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
       sigma_u |   .0069213   2.659185                             0           .
           rho |   .0000479   .0368063                             0           .
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * Model 7 Add one-sided violence/sexual violence

. 
. xtprobit split split_lag centtime cent dur_exist negotiation ceasefire rstrength terr mobilize independence logbd logbd2 ngroup_country polwing state_svac_reb_lag log_os_reb log_os_gov t1 t2 t3, re vce(cluster rebid)

Fitting comparison model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -461.62755  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -419.46498  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -417.30902  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =  -417.3007  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -417.3007  

Fitting full model:

rho =  0.0     log pseudolikelihood =  -417.3007
rho =  0.1     log pseudolikelihood = -419.45444

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -419.45445  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -417.27306  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -417.07435  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -417.05415  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -417.05378  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -417.05378  

Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects probit regression                Number of obs     =      2,341
Group variable: rebid                           Number of groups  =        185

Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian                   Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       12.7
                                                              max =         25

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =         12

                                                Wald chi2(20)     =      96.32
Log pseudolikelihood  = -417.05378              Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                      (Std. Err. adjusted for 185 clusters in rebid)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                   |               Robust
             split |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         split_lag |   .4134555   .1580789     2.62   0.009     .1036265    .7232845
          centtime |   .0158784   .0048465     3.28   0.001     .0063794    .0253773
              cent |  -.3316872   .1244973    -2.66   0.008    -.5756974    -.087677
         dur_exist |  -.0373663   .0128648    -2.90   0.004    -.0625808   -.0121517
       negotiation |   .2673668   .1137602     2.35   0.019     .0444009    .4903326
         ceasefire |   .2766804   .2672135     1.04   0.300    -.2470485    .8004094
         rstrength |   .2562978   .0941233     2.72   0.006     .0718196    .4407761
              terr |  -.2217291   .1239852    -1.79   0.074    -.4647357    .0212775
          mobilize |  -.0136648   .1184995    -0.12   0.908    -.2459195      .21859
      independence |  -.2115759   .1267009    -1.67   0.095    -.4599051    .0367532
             logbd |  -.0375285   .0244858    -1.53   0.125    -.0855197    .0104627
            logbd2 |  -.0054515   .0027497    -1.98   0.047    -.0108409   -.0000622
    ngroup_country |  -.0157078   .0125974    -1.25   0.212    -.0403984    .0089827
           polwing |   .0235169   .1101081     0.21   0.831    -.1922909    .2393248
state_svac_reb_lag |   .1622209   .1011269     1.60   0.109    -.0359843     .360426
        log_os_reb |   .0044458   .0091012     0.49   0.625    -.0133922    .0222839
        log_os_gov |   .0025825   .0057347     0.45   0.652    -.0086574    .0138224
                t1 |  -17.21341   50.49935    -0.34   0.733    -116.1903     81.7635
                t2 |   1.635774    3.34878     0.49   0.625    -4.927713    8.199262
                t3 |  -.0416508   .0649538    -0.64   0.521    -.1689578    .0856563
             _cons |  -.6372374   .4439028    -1.44   0.151    -1.507271     .232796
-------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
          /lnsig2u |  -3.465165   1.426051                     -6.260173   -.6701574
-------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
           sigma_u |   .1768272   .1260822                       .043714    .7152818
               rho |   .0303198   .0419266                      .0019073    .3384616
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. 
. 
. * Model 8 Model excluding rebel group with most number of splits

. 
. sort rebid year

. 
. by rebid: egen total_split = total(split)

. 
. 
. 
. drop if dyadid==333 | dyadid==442
(47 observations deleted)

. 
. 
. 
. * run the model again 

. 
. xtset rebid year
       panel variable:  rebid (unbalanced)
        time variable:  year, 1980 to 2014, but with gaps
                delta:  1 unit

. 
. 
. 
. xtprobit split split_lag centtime cent dur_exist negotiation ceasefire rstrength terr mobilize independence logbd logbd2 t1 t2 t3, re vce(cluster rebid) 

Fitting comparison model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -445.43584  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -411.19374  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -409.56441  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -409.55798  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -409.55798  

Fitting full model:

rho =  0.0     log pseudolikelihood = -409.55798
rho =  0.1     log pseudolikelihood = -413.22508

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -413.22508  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -410.40007  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood =  -409.8002  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -409.62792  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -409.5743  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -409.56066  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -409.55836  
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -409.55805  
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -409.55803  
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -409.55802  

Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects probit regression                Number of obs     =      2,442
Group variable: rebid                           Number of groups  =        189

Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian                   Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       12.9
                                                              max =         26

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =         12

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =      92.84
Log pseudolikelihood  = -409.55802              Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 189 clusters in rebid)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
       split |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   split_lag |   .4546197   .1807924     2.51   0.012     .1002731    .8089663
    centtime |   .0141803   .0041997     3.38   0.001     .0059491    .0224115
        cent |  -.2668972   .1032669    -2.58   0.010    -.4692966   -.0644978
   dur_exist |  -.0308763   .0117848    -2.62   0.009    -.0539742   -.0077785
 negotiation |   .2933533    .111437     2.63   0.008     .0749409    .5117658
   ceasefire |   .1392841   .2803117     0.50   0.619    -.4101166    .6886849
   rstrength |   .2641866   .0824876     3.20   0.001     .1025139    .4258593
        terr |  -.2215986   .1179702    -1.88   0.060     -.452816    .0096188
    mobilize |   .0113091    .104073     0.11   0.913    -.1926702    .2152885
independence |  -.2732903   .1130965    -2.42   0.016    -.4949554   -.0516253
       logbd |  -.0332362   .0222436    -1.49   0.135    -.0768328    .0103604
      logbd2 |  -.0049936   .0025443    -1.96   0.050    -.0099802   -6.92e-06
          t1 |  -22.15661   51.63295    -0.43   0.668    -123.3553    79.04212
          t2 |   1.488885   3.381707     0.44   0.660    -5.139139    8.116909
          t3 |  -.0335762   .0639732    -0.52   0.600    -.1589614    .0918091
       _cons |  -.9838943   .3830266    -2.57   0.010    -1.734613    -.233176
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    /lnsig2u |  -12.42198   12282.27                     -24085.23    24060.39
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     sigma_u |   .0020072   12.32678                             0           .
         rho |   4.03e-06   .0494854                             0           .
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * end of do file *

. log close
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  C:\Users\happy\Dropbox\Penn State\Dissertation\splits\Joo_Mukherjee_Replication\joo_mukherjee_main.log
  log type:  text
 closed on:  12 Oct 2020, 21:30:34
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
